DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc.
Consumer Defensive
Price
$128.54
Intrinsic value
$59.47
Buy price
$47.57
Discount
-116.1%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $2,695,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $7,593,299,968.00
- Cash & STI
- $1,007,299,968.00
- Shares out.
- 197,400,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$59.47
Buy price (with MOS)$47.57
Current price$128.54
Discount to intrinsic value-116.1%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- -9.3%
- Current ROE
- 34.2%
- Minimum ROE
- -76.2%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 2.02x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 2.14x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (0/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)+trough_adj
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 41.4%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.