DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc.
Consumer Defensive
Price
$116.19
Intrinsic value
$76.38
Buy price
$61.11
Discount
-52.1%
Live signals
Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026Nothing firing right now - no PAM pattern in the last 5 daily bars, and no DR1 support reclaim in the last 5 weekly bars. Technical confluence is DOWNTREND (2/3) - see the chart below.
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $3,117,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $7,670,799,872.00
- Cash & STI
- $1,058,099,968.00
- Shares out.
- 190,900,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$76.38
Buy price (with MOS)$61.11
Current price$116.19
Discount to intrinsic value-52.1%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- -9.3%
- Current ROE
- 34.2%
- Minimum ROE
- -76.2%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 2.04x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.93x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (2/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)+trough_adj
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 36.2%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.