DCF ScreenerData as of Oct 10, 2026, 1:06 AM UTC
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DIS The Walt Disney Company

Communication Services

Price
$104.03
Intrinsic value
$50.89
Buy price
$40.71
Discount
-104.4%
Overvalued

Live signals (1)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026
  • UCUptrend ContinuationBullish ↑

    A strong bullish bar closing back into a rising 20/50-SMA stack - the uptrend resuming after a pullback to the moving averages.

    Fired Oct 7, 20261 daily bar ago35.8% win rate · 1x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)4.51%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
Operating CF
$16,989,000,000.00
Total debt
$46,041,001,984.00
Cash & STI
$5,184,999,936.00
Shares out.
1,743,000,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$50.91
Buy price (with MOS)$40.73
Current price$104.03
Discount to intrinsic value-104.3%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality
LOW
Average ROE
5.5%
Current ROE
11.3%
Minimum ROE
2.4%
Debt quality
CONSERVATIVE
Debt / Equity
0.42x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXY
Cash-flow reliability
OK
Operating CF / Net income
1.98x

Technical chart

Confluence: NONE (0/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source
yfinance
Growth (g1) source
min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
Valuation model
DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV
34.5%
Public economic interest
95.9%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.