DIS The Walt Disney Company
Communication Services
Price
$103.65
Intrinsic value
$50.89
Buy price
$40.71
Discount
-103.7%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)4.51%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $16,989,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $46,041,001,984.00
- Cash & STI
- $5,184,999,936.00
- Shares out.
- 1,743,000,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$50.91
Buy price (with MOS)$40.73
Current price$103.65
Discount to intrinsic value-103.6%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- 5.5%
- Current ROE
- 11.3%
- Minimum ROE
- 2.4%
Debt quality
CONSERVATIVE- Debt / Equity
- 0.42x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.98x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 34.5%
- Public economic interest
- 95.9%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.