DHI D.R. Horton, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical
Price
$148.86
Intrinsic value
$63.06
Buy price
$50.45
Discount
-136.0%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.76%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $3,352,600,000.00
- Total debt
- $7,187,899,904.00
- Cash & STI
- $2,078,700,032.00
- Shares out.
- 283,000,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$63.08
Buy price (with MOS)$50.46
Current price$148.86
Discount to intrinsic value-136.0%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT- Average ROE
- 21.2%
- Current ROE
- 14.8%
- Minimum ROE
- 14.8%
Debt quality
CONSERVATIVE- Debt / Equity
- 0.30x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.10x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (2/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- revenueCAGR
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 30.8%
- Public economic interest
- 97.8%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.