DDOG Datadog, Inc.

Technology

Price

$278.24

Intrinsic value

$57.66

Buy price

$46.13

Discount

-382.5%

Overvalued [LOW CF reliability]

Live signals (1)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026

FS-BearishFailure Swing (bearish)Bearish ↓
Price overcut a recent swing high and closed back below it - the breakout failed and trapped the buyers who chased it.
Fired Oct 6, 20262 daily bars ago35% win rate · 0.97x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)25.00%

Terminal growth (g2)3.50%

Years of g1 growth4

Discount rate9.00%

Margin of safety20.00%

Operating CF: $1,229,034,000.00
Total debt: $1,277,800,960.00
Cash & STI: $4,985,438,208.00
Shares out.: 371,023,000

Overvalued [LOW CF reliability]

Intrinsic value$57.66

Buy price (with MOS)$46.13

Current price$278.24

Discount to intrinsic value-382.5%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality

LOW

Average ROE: 2.1%
Current ROE: 2.9%
Minimum ROE: -3.6%

Debt quality

CONSERVATIVE

Debt / Equity: 0.34x

Moat proxy

WEAK_PROXY

Cash-flow reliability

LOW

Operating CF / Net income: 6.92x

Technical chart

Confluence: NONE (0/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source: yfinance
Growth (g1) source: min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)+trough_adj
Valuation model: DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV: 7.2%
Public economic interest: 100.0%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.