CVNA Carvana Co.
Consumer Cyclical
Price
$63.88
Intrinsic value
$10.00
Buy price
$8.00
Discount
-538.7%
Live signals
Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026Nothing firing right now - no PAM pattern in the last 5 daily bars, and no DR1 support reclaim in the last 5 weekly bars. Technical confluence is DOWNTREND (0/3) - see the chart below.
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)13.58%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $1,120,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $5,696,999,936.00
- Cash & STI
- $3,132,000,000.00
- Shares out.
- 739,960,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$10.01
Buy price (with MOS)$8.01
Current price$63.88
Discount to intrinsic value-538.4%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_DISTORTED- Average ROE
- 80.9%
- Current ROE
- 40.9%
- Minimum ROE
- 16.7%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 1.66x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 0.71x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (0/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)+trough_adj
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 49.1%
- Public economic interest
- 81.9%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.