CRH CRH plc

Basic Materials

Price

$83.60

Intrinsic value

$36.45

Buy price

$29.16

Discount

-129.3%

Overvalued

Live signals (1)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026

FS-BullishFailure Swing (bullish)Bullish ↑
Price undercut a recent swing low and closed back above it - the breakdown failed and trapped the sellers who chased it.
Fired Oct 5, 20263 daily bars ago37.4% win rate · 1.07x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)4.60%

Terminal growth (g2)3.50%

Years of g1 growth4

Discount rate9.00%

Margin of safety20.00%

Operating CF: $5,419,000,000.00
Total debt: $19,812,999,168.00
Cash & STI: $3,024,999,936.00
Shares out.: 668,800,000

Overvalued

Intrinsic value$36.45

Buy price (with MOS)$29.16

Current price$83.60

Discount to intrinsic value-129.3%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality

HIGH_CONSISTENT

Average ROE: 16.0%
Current ROE: 15.5%
Minimum ROE: 15.1%

Debt quality

MODERATE

Debt / Equity: 0.83x

Moat proxy

STRONG_PROXY

Cash-flow reliability

Operating CF / Net income: 1.42x

Technical chart

Confluence: DOWNTREND (0/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source: yfinance
Growth (g1) source: min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
Valuation model: DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV: 46.4%
Public economic interest: 94.2%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.