CPT Camden Property Trust

Real Estate

Price

$97.65

Intrinsic value

$13.83

Buy price

$11.07

Discount

-606.0%

Overvalued [LOW CF reliability]

Live signals (2)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026

Conflicting signals

DCDowntrend ContinuationBearish ↓
A strong bearish bar rejecting a falling 20/50-SMA stack - the downtrend resuming after a bounce into the moving averages.
Fired Oct 6, 20262 daily bars ago32.9% win rate · 0.89x profit factor
FS-BullishFailure Swing (bullish)Bullish ↑
Price undercut a recent swing low and closed back above it - the breakdown failed and trapped the sellers who chased it.
Fired Oct 5, 20263 daily bars ago37.4% win rate · 1.07x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)3.41%

Terminal growth (g2)3.50%

Years of g1 growth4

Discount rate9.00%

Margin of safety20.00%

Operating CF: $826,510,000.00
Total debt: $4,873,028,096.00
Cash & STI: $44,717,000.00
Shares out.: 102,363,000

Overvalued [LOW CF reliability]

Intrinsic value$13.83

Buy price (with MOS)$11.06

Current price$97.65

Discount to intrinsic value-606.3%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality

LOW

Average ROE: 8.4%
Current ROE: 8.8%
Minimum ROE: 3.5%

Debt quality

LEVERAGED

Debt / Equity: 1.12x

Moat proxy

MODERATE_PROXY

Cash-flow reliability

LOW

Operating CF / Net income: 2.54x

Technical chart

Confluence: DOWNTREND (0/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source: yfinance
Growth (g1) source: min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
Valuation model: DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV: 77.7%
Public economic interest: 98.3%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.