COST Costco Wholesale Corporation
Consumer Defensive
Price
$941.60
Intrinsic value
$285.25
Buy price
$228.20
Discount
-230.1%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)6.64%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $15,000,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $10,227,999,744.00
- Cash & STI
- $11,125,999,616.00
- Shares out.
- 444,430,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$285.26
Buy price (with MOS)$228.21
Current price$941.60
Discount to intrinsic value-230.1%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT- Average ROE
- 28.1%
- Current ROE
- 27.8%
- Minimum ROE
- 25.1%
Debt quality
CONSERVATIVE- Debt / Equity
- 0.35x
Moat proxy
STRONG_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.70x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (2/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 8.1%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.