COP ConocoPhillips
Energy
Price
$124.89
Intrinsic value
$109.93
Buy price
$87.94
Discount
-13.6%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $21,925,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $23,289,999,360.00
- Cash & STI
- $7,692,000,256.00
- Shares out.
- 1,214,255,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$109.93
Buy price (with MOS)$87.94
Current price$124.89
Discount to intrinsic value-13.6%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT- Average ROE
- 22.0%
- Current ROE
- 12.4%
- Minimum ROE
- 12.4%
Debt quality
CONSERVATIVE- Debt / Equity
- 0.36x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 2.37x
Technical chart
Confluence: NONE (0/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 15.6%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.