DCF ScreenerData as of Oct 10, 2026, 1:06 AM UTC
← Screener

COF Capital One Financial Corporation

Financial Services

Price
$195.82
Intrinsic value
$169.21
Buy price
$135.37
Discount
-15.7%
Overvalued

Live signals (1)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026
  • FS-BearishFailure Swing (bearish)Bearish ↓

    Price overcut a recent swing high and closed back below it - the breakout failed and trapped the buyers who chased it.

    Fired Oct 6, 20262 daily bars ago35% win rate · 0.97x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

This ticker is valued with the excess-return model (bank/insurer/lender), not the operating-cash-flow DCF, so growth-rate and years-of-growth sliders don't apply - only the discount rate (used as cost of equity) and margin of safety do.

Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
Operating CF
$31,452,000,000.00
Total debt
$48,994,000,896.00
Cash & STI
$56,639,000,576.00
Shares out.
621,100,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$169.27
Buy price (with MOS)$135.42
Current price$195.82
Discount to intrinsic value-15.7%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality
LOW
Average ROE
8.1%
Current ROE
2.2%
Minimum ROE
2.2%
Debt quality
CONSERVATIVE
Debt / Equity
0.43x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXY
Cash-flow reliability
NOT_APPLICABLE
Operating CF / Net income
3.20x

Technical chart

Confluence: MODERATE (2/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source
yfinance
Growth (g1) source
revenueCAGR
Valuation model
EXCESS_RETURN
Debt as % of DCF PV
14%
Public economic interest
100.0%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.