CMI Cummins Inc.
Industrials
Price
$638.87
Intrinsic value
$163.27
Buy price
$130.61
Discount
-291.3%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)2.49%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $3,933,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $8,286,000,128.00
- Cash & STI
- $3,924,000,000.00
- Shares out.
- 138,800,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$163.27
Buy price (with MOS)$130.62
Current price$638.87
Discount to intrinsic value-291.3%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_VOLATILE- Average ROE
- 23.4%
- Current ROE
- 23.0%
- Minimum ROE
- 8.3%
Debt quality
MODERATE- Debt / Equity
- 0.67x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.45x
Technical chart
Confluence: WEAK (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- revenueCAGR+decel_adj
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 28.6%
- Public economic interest
- 92.1%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.