CME CME Group Inc.
Financial Services
Price
$260.78
Intrinsic value
$103.60
Buy price
$82.88
Discount
-151.7%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)9.11%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $4,309,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $3,868,499,968.00
- Cash & STI
- $2,275,599,872.00
- Shares out.
- 361,282,000
Overvalued [LOW CF reliability]
Intrinsic value$103.60
Buy price (with MOS)$82.88
Current price$260.78
Discount to intrinsic value-151.7%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- 12.4%
- Current ROE
- 14.2%
- Minimum ROE
- 10.0%
Debt quality
CONSERVATIVE- Debt / Equity
- 0.13x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
LOW- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.01x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (3/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 9.9%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.