CIEN Ciena Corporation
Technology
Price
$388.17
Intrinsic value
$62.10
Buy price
$49.68
Discount
-525.1%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)9.50%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $1,032,771,000.00
- Total debt
- $1,580,579,968.00
- Cash & STI
- $1,202,834,048.00
- Shares out.
- 146,314,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$62.10
Buy price (with MOS)$49.68
Current price$388.17
Discount to intrinsic value-525.0%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- 5.5%
- Current ROE
- 4.5%
- Minimum ROE
- 3.0%
Debt quality
MODERATE- Debt / Equity
- 0.58x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 2.36x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (0/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- revenueCAGR
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 16.7%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.