DCF ScreenerData as of Oct 10, 2026, 1:06 AM UTC
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CEG Constellation Energy Corporation

Utilities

Price
$300.40
Intrinsic value
$16.24
Buy price
$12.99
Discount
-1750.0%
Overvalued

Live signals (2)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026
Stacked bearish ↓
  • URUp-move ReversalBearish ↓

    A swing high right after a sharp up-flush, with the bar closing weak - buyers exhausted at the top of the run.

    Fired Oct 8, 2026on the latest daily bar34.1% win rate · 0.92x profit factor
  • UR-Near_200SMAUp-move Reversal at the 200-SMABearish ↓

    A swing high right after a sharp up-flush, with the bar closing weak - buyers exhausted at the top of the run. Fired right at the 200-day SMA.

    Fired Oct 8, 2026on the latest daily bar30.4% win rate · 0.79x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)1.47%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
Operating CF
$4,206,000,000.00
Total debt
$24,700,000,256.00
Cash & STI
$697,000,000.00
Shares out.
360,000,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$16.24
Buy price (with MOS)$12.99
Current price$300.40
Discount to intrinsic value-1750.3%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality
LOW
Average ROE
14.5%
Current ROE
16.0%
Minimum ROE
-1.5%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED
Debt / Equity
1.70x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXY
Cash-flow reliability
OK
Operating CF / Net income
1.21x

Technical chart

Confluence: DOWNTREND (1/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source
yfinance
Growth (g1) source
revenueCAGR
Valuation model
DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV
82.4%
Public economic interest
97.7%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.