CCL Carnival Corporation Ltd.
Consumer Cyclical
Price
$28.07
Intrinsic value
$29.75
Buy price
$23.80
Discount
5.6%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)11.03%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $6,794,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $26,169,999,360.00
- Cash & STI
- $2,243,000,064.00
- Shares out.
- 1,388,000,000
Fair (no MOS)
Intrinsic value$29.75
Buy price (with MOS)$23.80
Current price$28.07
Discount to intrinsic value5.6%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- -11.0%
- Current ROE
- 22.5%
- Minimum ROE
- -86.3%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 2.13x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 2.21x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (2/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)+trough_adj
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 40.1%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.