CASY Casey's General Stores, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical
Price
$620.80
Intrinsic value
$236.20
Buy price
$188.96
Discount
-162.8%
Live signals
Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026Nothing firing right now - no PAM pattern in the last 5 daily bars, and no DR1 support reclaim in the last 5 weekly bars. Technical confluence is DOWNTREND (1/3) - see the chart below.
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)5.17%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $1,389,195,000.00
- Total debt
- $2,888,147,968.00
- Cash & STI
- $524,059,008.00
- Shares out.
- 37,142,257
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$236.16
Buy price (with MOS)$188.93
Current price$620.80
Discount to intrinsic value-162.9%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT- Average ROE
- 16.8%
- Current ROE
- 18.1%
- Minimum ROE
- 15.6%
Debt quality
MODERATE- Debt / Equity
- 0.73x
Moat proxy
STRONG_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.80x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 25.9%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.