CASY Casey's General Stores, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical
Price
$842.57
Intrinsic value
$232.89
Buy price
$186.31
Discount
-261.8%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)5.17%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $1,377,540,000.00
- Total debt
- $2,905,074,944.00
- Cash & STI
- $522,991,008.00
- Shares out.
- 37,190,623
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$232.86
Buy price (with MOS)$186.29
Current price$842.57
Discount to intrinsic value-261.8%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT- Average ROE
- 16.8%
- Current ROE
- 18.1%
- Minimum ROE
- 15.6%
Debt quality
MODERATE- Debt / Equity
- 0.74x
Moat proxy
STRONG_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.93x
Technical chart
Confluence: WEAK (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 26.3%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.