DCF ScreenerData as of Oct 10, 2026, 1:06 AM UTC
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BALL Ball Corporation

Consumer Cyclical

Price
$57.43
Intrinsic value
$9.79
Buy price
$7.83
Discount
-486.8%
Overvalued

Live signals (2)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026
Stacked bullish ↑
  • DRDown-move ReversalBullish ↑

    A swing low right after a sharp down-flush, with the bar closing strong - sellers absorbed at the bottom of the flush.

    Fired Oct 5, 20263 daily bars ago41.4% win rate · 1.46x profit factor
  • FS-BullishFailure Swing (bullish)Bullish ↑

    Price undercut a recent swing low and closed back above it - the breakdown failed and trapped the sellers who chased it.

    Fired Oct 5, 20263 daily bars ago37.4% win rate · 1.07x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
Operating CF
$1,426,000,000.00
Total debt
$7,582,000,128.00
Cash & STI
$500,000,000.00
Shares out.
267,139,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$9.79
Buy price (with MOS)$7.83
Current price$57.43
Discount to intrinsic value-486.8%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT
Average ROE
31.2%
Current ROE
16.8%
Minimum ROE
16.8%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED
Debt / Equity
1.40x
Moat proxy
STRONG_PROXY
Cash-flow reliability
OK
Operating CF / Net income
1.51x

Technical chart

Confluence: DOWNTREND (2/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source
yfinance
Growth (g1) source
revenueCAGR
Valuation model
DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV
78.2%
Public economic interest
100.0%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.