AXP American Express Company
Financial Services
Live signals (1)
Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026- FS-BearishFailure Swing (bearish)Bearish ↓
Price overcut a recent swing high and closed back below it - the breakout failed and trapped the buyers who chased it.
Fired Oct 6, 20262 daily bars ago35% win rate · 0.97x profit factor
A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.
DCF walkthrough
This ticker is valued with the excess-return model (bank/insurer/lender), not the operating-cash-flow DCF, so growth-rate and years-of-growth sliders don't apply - only the discount rate (used as cost of equity) and margin of safety do.
- Operating CF
- $18,475,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $59,092,000,768.00
- Cash & STI
- $45,752,000,512.00
- Shares out.
- 679,000,000
7-step quality scorecard
- Average ROE
- 31.5%
- Current ROE
- 32.4%
- Minimum ROE
- 29.8%
- Debt / Equity
- 1.77x
- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.63x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (0/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
- Valuation model
- EXCESS_RETURN
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 47%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.