AWK American Water Works Company, Inc.
Utilities
Price
$133.13
Intrinsic value
$13.58
Buy price
$10.87
Discount
-880.2%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)4.82%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $2,334,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $16,067,999,744.00
- Cash & STI
- $227,000,000.00
- Shares out.
- 196,000,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$13.59
Buy price (with MOS)$10.87
Current price$133.13
Discount to intrinsic value-879.5%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- 10.2%
- Current ROE
- 10.3%
- Minimum ROE
- 9.6%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 1.48x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 2.07x
Technical chart
Confluence: MODERATE (2/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)+trough_adj
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 86.8%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.