AWK American Water Works Company, Inc.
Utilities
Price
$128.04
Intrinsic value
$13.58
Buy price
$10.87
Discount
-842.8%
Live signals
Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026Nothing firing right now - no PAM pattern in the last 5 daily bars, and no DR1 support reclaim in the last 5 weekly bars. Technical confluence is DOWNTREND (1/3) - see the chart below.
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)4.82%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $2,334,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $16,067,999,744.00
- Cash & STI
- $227,000,000.00
- Shares out.
- 196,000,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$13.59
Buy price (with MOS)$10.87
Current price$128.04
Discount to intrinsic value-842.0%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- 10.2%
- Current ROE
- 10.3%
- Minimum ROE
- 9.6%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 1.48x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 2.07x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)+trough_adj
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 86.8%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.