AVY Avery Dennison Corporation
Consumer Cyclical
Price
$179.57
Intrinsic value
$65.15
Buy price
$52.12
Discount
-175.6%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $1,233,600,000.00
- Total debt
- $3,685,199,872.00
- Cash & STI
- $274,700,000.00
- Shares out.
- 76,400,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$65.15
Buy price (with MOS)$52.12
Current price$179.57
Discount to intrinsic value-175.6%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT- Average ROE
- 30.5%
- Current ROE
- 30.7%
- Minimum ROE
- 23.6%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 1.64x
Moat proxy
STRONG_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.75x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 43.9%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.