ARES Ares Management Corporation
Financial Services
Price
$142.37
Intrinsic value
$26.47
Buy price
$21.18
Discount
-437.8%
DCF walkthrough
This ticker is valued with the excess-return model (bank/insurer/lender), not the operating-cash-flow DCF, so growth-rate and years-of-growth sliders don't apply - only the discount rate (used as cost of equity) and margin of safety do.
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $912,125,000.00
- Total debt
- $14,872,607,744.00
- Cash & STI
- $1,852,358,016.00
- Shares out.
- 226,304,870
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$26.53
Buy price (with MOS)$21.22
Current price$142.37
Discount to intrinsic value-436.7%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_CONSISTENT- Average ROE
- 15.3%
- Current ROE
- 12.3%
- Minimum ROE
- 10.5%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 3.48x
Moat proxy
STRONG_PROXYCash-flow reliability
NOT_APPLICABLE- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.59x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- revenueCAGR
- Valuation model
- EXCESS_RETURN
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 121.9%
- Public economic interest
- 49.3%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.