ARES Ares Management Corporation

Financial Services

Price

$117.74

Intrinsic value

$26.47

Buy price

$21.18

Discount

-344.7%

Overvalued

Live signals

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026

Nothing firing right now - no PAM pattern in the last 5 daily bars, and no DR1 support reclaim in the last 5 weekly bars. Technical confluence is DOWNTREND (0/3) - see the chart below.

DCF walkthrough

This ticker is valued with the excess-return model (bank/insurer/lender), not the operating-cash-flow DCF, so growth-rate and years-of-growth sliders don't apply - only the discount rate (used as cost of equity) and margin of safety do.

Discount rate9.00%

Margin of safety20.00%

Operating CF: $912,125,000.00
Total debt: $14,872,607,744.00
Cash & STI: $1,852,358,016.00
Shares out.: 226,304,870

Overvalued

Intrinsic value$26.53

Buy price (with MOS)$21.22

Current price$117.74

Discount to intrinsic value-343.8%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality

HIGH_CONSISTENT

Average ROE: 15.3%
Current ROE: 12.3%
Minimum ROE: 10.5%

Debt quality

LEVERAGED

Debt / Equity: 3.48x

Moat proxy

STRONG_PROXY

Cash-flow reliability

NOT_APPLICABLE

Operating CF / Net income: 1.87x

Technical chart

Confluence: DOWNTREND (0/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source: yfinance
Growth (g1) source: revenueCAGR
Valuation model: EXCESS_RETURN
Debt as % of DCF PV: 121.9%
Public economic interest: 49.3%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.