APTV Aptiv PLC
Consumer Cyclical
Price
$50.08
Intrinsic value
$19.48
Buy price
$15.59
Discount
-157.0%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $1,351,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $5,683,999,744.00
- Cash & STI
- $761,000,000.00
- Shares out.
- 212,100,000
Overvalued [LOW CF reliability]
Intrinsic value$19.48
Buy price (with MOS)$15.58
Current price$50.08
Discount to intrinsic value-157.1%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- 13.6%
- Current ROE
- 1.8%
- Minimum ROE
- 1.8%
Debt quality
MODERATE- Debt / Equity
- 0.62x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
LOW- Operating CF / Net income
- 2.87x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (0/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)+trough_adj+decel_adj
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 61.9%
- Public economic interest
- 96.9%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.