DCF ScreenerData as of Oct 10, 2026, 1:06 AM UTC
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APP AppLovin Corporation

Communication Services

Price
$278.78
Intrinsic value
$131.42
Buy price
$105.13
Discount
-112.1%
Overvalued

Live signals (1)

Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026
  • FS-BullishFailure Swing (bullish)Bullish ↑

    Price undercut a recent swing low and closed back above it - the breakdown failed and trapped the sellers who chased it.

    Fired Oct 8, 2026on the latest daily bar37.4% win rate · 1.07x profit factor

A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.

DCF walkthrough

Near-term growth (g1)12.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
Operating CF
$4,527,589,000.00
Total debt
$3,515,072,000.00
Cash & STI
$3,053,306,112.00
Shares out.
337,031,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$131.42
Buy price (with MOS)$105.13
Current price$278.78
Discount to intrinsic value-112.1%

7-step quality scorecard

ROE quality
HIGH_DISTORTED
Average ROE
79.9%
Current ROE
156.2%
Minimum ROE
-10.1%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED
Debt / Equity
1.65x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXY
Cash-flow reliability
OK
Operating CF / Net income
1.03x

Technical chart

Confluence: DOWNTREND (0/3)

Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).

Assumptions & data quality

Data source
yfinance
Growth (g1) source
sector_default_fallback
Valuation model
DCF_OCF
Debt as % of DCF PV
7.9%
Public economic interest
100.0%

These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.