APA APA Corporation
Energy
Price
$40.60
Intrinsic value
$67.22
Buy price
$53.78
Discount
39.6%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $4,528,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $3,880,999,936.00
- Cash & STI
- $444,000,000.00
- Shares out.
- 354,000,000
Undervalued [LOW CF reliability]
Intrinsic value$67.22
Buy price (with MOS)$53.78
Current price$40.60
Discount to intrinsic value39.6%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_DISTORTED- Average ROE
- 249.6%
- Current ROE
- 23.5%
- Minimum ROE
- 15.2%
Debt quality
MODERATE- Debt / Equity
- 0.64x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
LOW- Operating CF / Net income
- 2.70x
Technical chart
Confluence: NONE (0/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 12.6%
- Public economic interest
- 87.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.