AMZN Amazon.com, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical
Price
$274.60
Intrinsic value
$121.76
Buy price
$97.41
Discount
-125.5%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)11.73%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $148,531,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $251,635,007,488.00
- Cash & STI
- $122,988,003,328.00
- Shares out.
- 10,903,000,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$121.77
Buy price (with MOS)$97.41
Current price$274.60
Discount to intrinsic value-125.5%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- 13.2%
- Current ROE
- 18.9%
- Minimum ROE
- -1.9%
Debt quality
MODERATE- Debt / Equity
- 0.61x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.10x
Technical chart
Confluence: NONE (0/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 17.3%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.