AMGN Amgen Inc.
Healthcare
Price
$413.80
Intrinsic value
$80.45
Buy price
$64.36
Discount
-414.3%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.81%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $12,478,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $57,303,998,464.00
- Cash & STI
- $13,989,000,192.00
- Shares out.
- 544,000,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$80.47
Buy price (with MOS)$64.38
Current price$413.80
Discount to intrinsic value-414.2%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_DISTORTED- Average ROE
- 111.4%
- Current ROE
- 89.1%
- Minimum ROE
- 69.6%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 6.62x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.43x
Technical chart
Confluence: NONE (0/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 65.8%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.