ALGN Align Technology, Inc.
Healthcare
Price
$176.37
Intrinsic value
$88.92
Buy price
$71.14
Discount
-98.3%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)1.41%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $755,696,000.00
- Total debt
- $120,842,000.00
- Cash & STI
- $1,102,590,976.00
- Shares out.
- 71,520,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$88.91
Buy price (with MOS)$71.13
Current price$176.37
Discount to intrinsic value-98.4%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- 10.8%
- Current ROE
- 10.1%
- Minimum ROE
- 10.0%
Debt quality
CONSERVATIVE- Debt / Equity
- 0.03x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.83x
Technical chart
Confluence: WEAK (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(cfCAGR,revenueCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 2.2%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.