AES The AES Corporation
Utilities
Live signals (2)
Daily bars as of Oct 8, 2026- FS-BearishFailure Swing (bearish)Bearish ↓
Price overcut a recent swing high and closed back below it - the breakout failed and trapped the buyers who chased it.
Fired Oct 8, 2026on the latest daily bar35% win rate · 0.97x profit factor - FS-BullishFailure Swing (bullish)Bullish ↑
Price undercut a recent swing low and closed back above it - the breakdown failed and trapped the sellers who chased it.
Fired Oct 7, 20261 daily bar ago37.4% win rate · 1.07x profit factor
A pattern is reported for 5 bars after it fires (the sweet-spot fill window), so an older bar count means the entry has had longer to play out - not that the signal is stronger. Win rate and profit factor are the pattern's backtested averages across the S&P 500, not a forecast for this ticker.
DCF walkthrough
- Operating CF
- $5,032,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $32,942,999,552.00
- Cash & STI
- $1,852,999,936.00
- Shares out.
- 715,000,000
7-step quality scorecard
- Average ROE
- 14.0%
- Current ROE
- 22.4%
- Minimum ROE
- -22.4%
- Debt / Equity
- 8.11x
- Operating CF / Net income
- 2.63x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (2/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim (see Live signals above for when it fired).
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- revenueCAGR
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 96.3%
- Public economic interest
- 44.6%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.