AES The AES Corporation
Utilities
Price
$14.73
Intrinsic value
$1.95
Buy price
$1.56
Discount
-655.1%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $5,032,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $32,942,999,552.00
- Cash & STI
- $1,852,999,936.00
- Shares out.
- 715,000,000
Overvalued [LOW CF reliability]
Intrinsic value$1.95
Buy price (with MOS)$1.56
Current price$14.73
Discount to intrinsic value-655.5%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- 14.0%
- Current ROE
- 22.4%
- Minimum ROE
- -22.4%
Debt quality
LEVERAGED- Debt / Equity
- 8.11x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
LOW- Operating CF / Net income
- 2.63x
Technical chart
Confluence: MODERATE (2/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- revenueCAGR
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 96.3%
- Public economic interest
- 44.6%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.