ADSK Autodesk, Inc.
Technology
Price
$252.56
Intrinsic value
$134.21
Buy price
$107.37
Discount
-88.2%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)12.91%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $2,781,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $2,724,000,000.00
- Cash & STI
- $2,924,000,000.00
- Shares out.
- 212,000,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$134.19
Buy price (with MOS)$107.35
Current price$252.56
Discount to intrinsic value-88.2%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_DISTORTED- Average ROE
- 50.0%
- Current ROE
- 36.9%
- Minimum ROE
- 36.9%
Debt quality
MODERATE- Debt / Equity
- 0.89x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.90x
Technical chart
Confluence: DOWNTREND (2/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- revenueCAGR
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 9.6%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.