ADP Automatic Data Processing, Inc.
Technology
Price
$272.12
Intrinsic value
$111.62
Buy price
$89.30
Discount
-143.8%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)6.81%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $5,441,200,000.00
- Total debt
- $5,514,699,776.00
- Cash & STI
- $4,230,099,968.00
- Shares out.
- 399,700,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$111.63
Buy price (with MOS)$89.31
Current price$272.12
Discount to intrinsic value-143.8%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
HIGH_DISTORTED- Average ROE
- 79.7%
- Current ROE
- 73.2%
- Minimum ROE
- 65.9%
Debt quality
MODERATE- Debt / Equity
- 0.91x
Moat proxy
MODERATE_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.23x
Technical chart
Confluence: NONE (0/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- min(revenueCAGR,cfCAGR)
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 12%
- Public economic interest
- 100.0%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.