ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
Consumer Defensive
Price
$79.61
Intrinsic value
$21.94
Buy price
$17.55
Discount
-262.9%
DCF walkthrough
Near-term growth (g1)0.00%
Terminal growth (g2)3.50%
Years of g1 growth4
Discount rate9.00%
Margin of safety20.00%
- Operating CF
- $2,795,000,000.00
- Total debt
- $9,342,000,128.00
- Cash & STI
- $1,092,999,936.00
- Shares out.
- 484,000,000
Overvalued
Intrinsic value$21.93
Buy price (with MOS)$17.55
Current price$79.61
Discount to intrinsic value-262.9%
7-step quality scorecard
ROE quality
LOW- Average ROE
- 11.3%
- Current ROE
- 4.7%
- Minimum ROE
- 4.7%
Debt quality
CONSERVATIVE- Debt / Equity
- 0.41x
Moat proxy
WEAK_PROXYCash-flow reliability
OK- Operating CF / Net income
- 1.58x
Technical chart
Confluence: WEAK (1/3)Weekly candles, ~3 years. Yellow line: 10-week EMA. Dashed lines: Fibonacci retracement of the last 52-week swing. Green arrow: an active DR1 support reclaim.
Assumptions & data quality
- Data source
- yfinance
- Growth (g1) source
- revenueCAGR
- Valuation model
- DCF_OCF
- Debt as % of DCF PV
- 49.2%
- Public economic interest
- 98.7%
These are model outputs built on assumptions (growth rate, discount rate, margin of safety), not facts - trust but verify, especially for LOW cash-flow-reliability or UNKNOWN-quality rows.